Change by Scenario for West Virginia

Population and Land Use Total Land Area: 15.4 million acres

  Change
2010 - 2060
  2010 2060 West Virginia Northern
States
West Virginia Population 1,817,697 2,033,764
11.9%
25.6%
Area of Forest Land (Acres) 11,974,355
77.8% of total land area
10,991,555
71.4% of total land area
-8.2%
-6.4%
Area of Timberland (Acres) 11,721,108
76.1% of total land area
10,747,737
69.8% of total land area
-8.3%
-6.5%

Volume, Growth, and Removals on Timberland in West Virginia

Scenario A1B-C A1B-BIO
  2010 2060 Change 2060 Change
Number of Trees 6,064,797,624 5,563,785,919
-8.3%
4,702,336,183
-22.5%
Trees per Person 3,337 2,736
-18.0%
2,312
-30.7%
Volume (cu ft) 25,036,759,843 23,710,777,514
-5.3%
18,331,603,389
-26.8%
Growth (cu ft/year) 609,000,000 223,000,000
-63.4%
523,000,000
-14.1%
Removals (cu ft/year) 286,000,000 263,000,000
-8.0%
970,000,000
239.2%
Growth to removal ratio 2.1 0.8
-60.2%
0.5
-74.7%

Carbon Stored on Forest Land in West Virginia

Scenario A1B-C A1B-BIO
Carbon Pool 2010 2060 Change 2060 Change
Live trees (metric ton) 364,367,878
43.9%
339,796,613
43.2%
-6.7%
266,735,009
38.4%
-26.8%
Roots (metric ton) 70,439,057
8.5%
65,677,307
8.3%
-6.8%
51,485,604
7.4%
-26.9%
Dead trees (metric ton) 56,870,957
6.9%
54,890,502
7.0%
-3.5%
53,921,108
7.8%
-5.2%
Forest floor (metric ton) 58,109,151
7.0%
62,710,608
8.0%
7.9%
59,109,815
8.5%
1.7%
Soil (metric ton) 280,194,442
33.8%
264,383,715
33.6%
-5.6%
264,070,745
38.0%
-5.8%
All Carbon Pools (metric ton) 829,981,486
100%
787,458,744
100%
-5.1%
695,322,281
100%
-16.2%

Population and Land Use Total Land Area: 15.4 million acres

  Change
2010 - 2060
  2010 2060 West Virginia Northern
States
West Virginia Population 1,854,177 2,297,638
23.9%
39.1%
Area of Forest Land (Acres) 11,974,355
77.8% of total land area
11,369,785
73.8% of total land area
-5.0%
-5.4%
Area of Timberland (Acres) 11,721,108
76.1% of total land area
11,122,037
72.2% of total land area
-5.1%
-5.5%

Volume, Growth, and Removals on Timberland in West Virginia

Scenario A2-C A2-BIO
  2010 2060 Change 2060 Change
Number of Trees 6,064,797,624 5,745,006,326
-5.3%
5,343,704,796
-11.9%
Trees per Person 3,271 2,500
-23.6%
2,326
-28.9%
Volume (cu ft) 25,036,759,843 24,551,765,504
-1.9%
21,406,169,144
-14.5%
Growth (cu ft/year) 609,000,000 352,000,000
-42.2%
560,000,000
-8.0%
Removals (cu ft/year) 286,000,000 293,000,000
2.4%
781,000,000
173.1%
Growth to removal ratio 2.1 1.2
-43.6%
0.7
-66.3%

Carbon Stored on Forest Land in West Virginia

Scenario A2-C A2-BIO
Carbon Pool 2010 2060 Change 2060 Change
Live trees (metric ton) 364,367,878
43.9%
354,422,848
43.4%
-2.7%
310,944,862
40.7%
-14.7%
Roots (metric ton) 70,439,057
8.5%
68,499,526
8.4%
-2.8%
60,057,652
7.9%
-14.7%
Dead trees (metric ton) 56,870,957
6.9%
57,058,881
7.0%
0.3%
56,024,370
7.3%
-1.5%
Forest floor (metric ton) 58,109,151
7.0%
64,479,153
7.9%
11.0%
63,183,531
8.3%
8.7%
Soil (metric ton) 280,194,442
33.8%
272,367,225
33.3%
-2.8%
273,524,346
35.8%
-2.4%
All Carbon Pools (metric ton) 829,981,486
100%
816,827,633
100%
-1.6%
763,734,760
100%
-8.0%

Population and Land Use Total Land Area: 15.4 million acres

  Change
2010 - 2060
  2010 2060 West Virginia Northern
States
West Virginia Population 1,812,219 1,806,203
-0.3%
11.9%
Area of Forest Land (Acres) 11,974,355
77.8% of total land area
11,524,476
74.8% of total land area
-3.8%
-3.5%
Area of Timberland (Acres) 11,721,108
76.1% of total land area
11,275,565
73.2% of total land area
-3.8%
-3.5%

Volume, Growth, and Removals on Timberland in West Virginia

Scenario B2-C B2-BIO
  2010 2060 Change 2060 Change
Number of Trees 6,064,797,624 5,885,122,001
-3.0%
5,875,883,923
-3.1%
Trees per Person 3,347 3,258
-2.6%
3,253
-2.8%
Volume (cu ft) 25,036,759,843 24,413,429,610
-2.5%
22,941,417,831
-8.4%
Growth (cu ft/year) 609,000,000 333,000,000
-45.3%
401,000,000
-34.2%
Removals (cu ft/year) 286,000,000 287,000,000
0.3%
503,000,000
75.9%
Growth to removal ratio 2.1 1.2
-45.5%
0.8
-62.6%

Carbon Stored on Forest Land in West Virginia

Scenario B2-C B2-BIO
Carbon Pool 2010 2060 Change 2060 Change
Live trees (metric ton) 364,367,878
43.9%
355,734,691
43.1%
-2.4%
334,512,168
41.9%
-8.2%
Roots (metric ton) 70,439,057
8.5%
68,768,148
8.3%
-2.4%
64,637,421
8.1%
-8.2%
Dead trees (metric ton) 56,870,957
6.9%
57,622,521
7.0%
1.3%
57,268,744
7.2%
0.7%
Forest floor (metric ton) 58,109,151
7.0%
65,795,967
8.0%
13.2%
65,316,773
8.2%
12.4%
Soil (metric ton) 280,194,442
33.8%
277,157,433
33.6%
-1.1%
277,155,906
34.7%
-1.1%
All Carbon Pools (metric ton) 829,981,486
100%
825,078,760
100%
-0.6%
798,891,013
100%
-3.7%

 Scenarios

There are six scenarios, each representing a global greenhouse storyline (IPCC 2007) paired with a harvest regime.

Moderate greenhouse gas emissions, moderate gains in population, and large gains in income and energy consumption (but with a balanced renewable/fossil fuel portfolio)

High greenhouse gas emissions, large gains in population and energy consumption, and moderate gains in income

Low greenhouse gas emissions with moderate gains in population, income, and energy consumption.

Harvest Regimes

-C
Scenario projections assume harvest will continue at recently observed levels
-BIO
Harvest will increase to reflect increased harvest for bioenergy production

West Virginia Population by Scenario

Drivers of Forest Change

A large component of forest change will be the result of normal forest growth, aging, natural regeneration, and species succession. In addition, we expect that a range of external forces will also drive forest change:

  • Population increases will cause millions of acres of forest land to be converted to urban and other land uses.
  • Economic conditions will affect forest products consumption, production, and harvesting rates.
  • The spread of invasive species will exacerbate the effects of other disturbances on forest ecosystems.
  • Changes in population, economic activity, energy consumption, and energy production will affect future climate change.
  • Climate change will, in turn, affect dynamics within forested ecosystems, including patterns of vegetation growth and species succession.

West Virginia Future Forest Attributes


Area of forestland for West Virginia


Legend
A1B-C
A1B-BIO
A2-C
A2-BIO
B2-C
B2-BIO

Scenario 2020 2040 2060 % Change

Area of forestland under A1B-C in 2060



Rank State Value