Change by Scenario for Rhode Island

Population and Land Use Total Land Area: 0.7 million acres

  Change
2010 - 2060
  2010 2060 Rhode Island Northern
States
Rhode Island Population 1,088,773 1,403,618
28.9%
25.6%
Area of Forest Land (Acres) 348,421
49.8% of total land area
256,622
36.7% of total land area
-26.3%
-6.4%
Area of Timberland (Acres) 341,124
48.7% of total land area
253,925
36.3% of total land area
-25.6%
-6.5%

Volume, Growth, and Removals on Timberland in Rhode Island

Scenario A1B-C A1B-BIO
  2010 2060 Change 2060 Change
Number of Trees 172,432,129 112,862,147
-34.5%
101,750,188
-41.0%
Trees per Person 158 80
-49.2%
72
-54.2%
Volume (cu ft) 712,304,065 517,128,389
-27.4%
550,774,887
-22.7%
Growth (cu ft/year) 19,000,000 -9,000,000
-147.4%
-11,000,000
-157.9%
Removals (cu ft/year) 1,000,000 500,000
-50.0%
2,000,000
100.0%
Growth to removal ratio 19.0 -18.0
-194.7%
-5.5
-128.9%

Carbon Stored on Forest Land in Rhode Island

Scenario A1B-C A1B-BIO
Carbon Pool 2010 2060 Change 2060 Change
Live trees (metric ton) 10,208,376
41.5%
7,834,121
41.5%
-23.3%
7,812,160
40.5%
-23.5%
Roots (metric ton) 2,018,479
8.2%
1,533,068
8.1%
-24.0%
1,539,218
8.0%
-23.7%
Dead trees (metric ton) 1,584,880
6.4%
1,165,007
6.2%
-26.5%
1,189,654
6.2%
-24.9%
Forest floor (metric ton) 1,596,725
6.5%
1,342,547
7.1%
-15.9%
1,328,780
6.9%
-16.8%
Soil (metric ton) 9,176,344
37.3%
6,982,215
37.0%
-23.9%
7,421,679
38.5%
-19.1%
All Carbon Pools (metric ton) 24,584,804
100%
18,856,958
100%
-23.3%
19,291,491
100%
-21.5%

Population and Land Use Total Land Area: 0.7 million acres

  Change
2010 - 2060
  2010 2060 Rhode Island Northern
States
Rhode Island Population 1,110,623 1,585,731
42.8%
39.1%
Area of Forest Land (Acres) 348,421
49.8% of total land area
247,972
35.4% of total land area
-28.8%
-5.4%
Area of Timberland (Acres) 341,124
48.7% of total land area
245,296
35% of total land area
-28.1%
-5.5%

Volume, Growth, and Removals on Timberland in Rhode Island

Scenario A2-C A2-BIO
  2010 2060 Change 2060 Change
Number of Trees 172,432,129 117,586,405
-31.8%
111,353,246
-35.4%
Trees per Person 155 74
-52.2%
70
-54.8%
Volume (cu ft) 712,304,065 516,017,456
-27.6%
568,741,718
-20.2%
Growth (cu ft/year) 19,000,000 -3,000,000
-115.8%
2,000,000
-89.5%
Removals (cu ft/year) 1,000,000 2,000,000
100.0%
1,000,000
0.0%
Growth to removal ratio 19.0 -1.5
-107.9%
2.0
-89.5%

Carbon Stored on Forest Land in Rhode Island

Scenario A2-C A2-BIO
Carbon Pool 2010 2060 Change 2060 Change
Live trees (metric ton) 10,208,376
41.5%
7,453,548
40.2%
-27.0%
8,023,053
42.0%
-21.4%
Roots (metric ton) 2,018,479
8.2%
1,472,922
8.0%
-27.0%
1,578,355
8.3%
-21.8%
Dead trees (metric ton) 1,584,880
6.4%
1,134,727
6.1%
-28.4%
1,200,476
6.3%
-24.3%
Forest floor (metric ton) 1,596,725
6.5%
1,426,108
7.7%
-10.7%
1,302,857
6.8%
-18.4%
Soil (metric ton) 9,176,344
37.3%
7,038,558
38.0%
-23.3%
6,989,960
36.6%
-23.8%
All Carbon Pools (metric ton) 24,584,804
100%
18,525,863
100%
-24.6%
19,094,701
100%
-22.3%

Population and Land Use Total Land Area: 0.7 million acres

  Change
2010 - 2060
  2010 2060 Rhode Island Northern
States
Rhode Island Population 1,085,489 1,246,567
14.8%
11.9%
Area of Forest Land (Acres) 348,421
49.8% of total land area
295,863
42.3% of total land area
-15.1%
-3.5%
Area of Timberland (Acres) 341,124
48.7% of total land area
292,952
41.9% of total land area
-14.1%
-3.5%

Volume, Growth, and Removals on Timberland in Rhode Island

Scenario B2-C B2-BIO
  2010 2060 Change 2060 Change
Number of Trees 172,432,129 133,989,634
-22.3%
132,787,026
-23.0%
Trees per Person 159 107
-32.3%
107
-32.9%
Volume (cu ft) 712,304,065 610,742,650
-14.3%
581,365,596
-18.4%
Growth (cu ft/year) 19,000,000 -2,000,000
-110.5%
-5,000,000
-126.3%
Removals (cu ft/year) 1,000,000 500,000
-50.0%
500,000
-50.0%
Growth to removal ratio 19.0 -4.0
-121.1%
-10.0
-152.6%

Carbon Stored on Forest Land in Rhode Island

Scenario B2-C B2-BIO
Carbon Pool 2010 2060 Change 2060 Change
Live trees (metric ton) 10,208,376
41.5%
8,768,083
40.0%
-14.1%
8,343,570
39.8%
-18.3%
Roots (metric ton) 2,018,479
8.2%
1,719,705
7.8%
-14.8%
1,639,362
7.8%
-18.8%
Dead trees (metric ton) 1,584,880
6.4%
1,345,603
6.1%
-15.1%
1,295,735
6.2%
-18.2%
Forest floor (metric ton) 1,596,725
6.5%
1,576,608
7.2%
-1.3%
1,475,321
7.0%
-7.6%
Soil (metric ton) 9,176,344
37.3%
8,518,782
38.8%
-7.2%
8,215,441
39.2%
-10.5%
All Carbon Pools (metric ton) 24,584,804
100%
21,928,781
100%
-10.8%
20,969,429
100%
-14.7%

 Scenarios

There are six scenarios, each representing a global greenhouse storyline (IPCC 2007) paired with a harvest regime.

Moderate greenhouse gas emissions, moderate gains in population, and large gains in income and energy consumption (but with a balanced renewable/fossil fuel portfolio)

High greenhouse gas emissions, large gains in population and energy consumption, and moderate gains in income

Low greenhouse gas emissions with moderate gains in population, income, and energy consumption.

Harvest Regimes

-C
Scenario projections assume harvest will continue at recently observed levels
-BIO
Harvest will increase to reflect increased harvest for bioenergy production

Rhode Island Population by Scenario

Drivers of Forest Change

A large component of forest change will be the result of normal forest growth, aging, natural regeneration, and species succession. In addition, we expect that a range of external forces will also drive forest change:

  • Population increases will cause millions of acres of forest land to be converted to urban and other land uses.
  • Economic conditions will affect forest products consumption, production, and harvesting rates.
  • The spread of invasive species will exacerbate the effects of other disturbances on forest ecosystems.
  • Changes in population, economic activity, energy consumption, and energy production will affect future climate change.
  • Climate change will, in turn, affect dynamics within forested ecosystems, including patterns of vegetation growth and species succession.

Rhode Island Future Forest Attributes


Area of forestland for Rhode Island


Legend
A1B-C
A1B-BIO
A2-C
A2-BIO
B2-C
B2-BIO

Scenario 2020 2040 2060 % Change

Area of forestland under A1B-C in 2060



Rank State Value