Change by Scenario for Ohio

Population and Land Use Total Land Area: 26.2 million acres

  Change
2010 - 2060
  2010 2060 Ohio Northern
States
Ohio Population 11,484,232 12,811,106
11.6%
25.6%
Area of Forest Land (Acres) 8,043,838
30.7% of total land area
7,590,602
29% of total land area
-5.6%
-6.4%
Area of Timberland (Acres) 7,833,574
29.9% of total land area
7,403,241
28.3% of total land area
-5.5%
-6.5%

Volume, Growth, and Removals on Timberland in Ohio

Scenario A1B-C A1B-BIO
  2010 2060 Change 2060 Change
Number of Trees 4,066,545,620 3,667,937,144
-9.8%
3,386,608,455
-16.7%
Trees per Person 354 286
-19.1%
264
-25.3%
Volume (cu ft) 14,103,629,048 17,047,970,595
20.9%
12,474,096,560
-11.6%
Growth (cu ft/year) 410,000,000 373,000,000
-9.0%
487,000,000
18.8%
Removals (cu ft/year) 181,000,000 227,000,000
25.4%
710,000,000
292.3%
Growth to removal ratio 2.3 1.6
-27.5%
0.7
-69.7%

Carbon Stored on Forest Land in Ohio

Scenario A1B-C A1B-BIO
Carbon Pool 2010 2060 Change 2060 Change
Live trees (metric ton) 215,823,594
40.2%
249,236,081
44.0%
15.5%
187,233,328
38.5%
-13.2%
Roots (metric ton) 41,607,418
7.7%
48,008,290
8.5%
15.4%
36,080,071
7.4%
-13.3%
Dead trees (metric ton) 36,005,063
6.7%
39,071,200
6.9%
8.5%
36,501,928
7.5%
1.4%
Forest floor (metric ton) 37,553,204
7.0%
42,807,910
7.6%
14.0%
39,740,631
8.2%
5.8%
Soil (metric ton) 206,047,703
38.4%
187,119,086
33.0%
-9.2%
186,438,386
38.4%
-9.5%
All Carbon Pools (metric ton) 537,036,981
100%
566,242,568
100%
5.4%
485,994,346
100%
-9.5%

Population and Land Use Total Land Area: 26.2 million acres

  Change
2010 - 2060
  2010 2060 Ohio Northern
States
Ohio Population 11,714,699 14,473,298
23.5%
39.1%
Area of Forest Land (Acres) 8,043,838
30.7% of total land area
7,633,312
29.1% of total land area
-5.1%
-5.4%
Area of Timberland (Acres) 7,833,574
29.9% of total land area
7,446,701
28.4% of total land area
-4.9%
-5.5%

Volume, Growth, and Removals on Timberland in Ohio

Scenario A2-C A2-BIO
  2010 2060 Change 2060 Change
Number of Trees 4,066,545,620 3,750,719,686
-7.8%
3,502,138,474
-13.9%
Trees per Person 347 259
-25.3%
242
-30.3%
Volume (cu ft) 14,103,629,048 16,242,230,856
15.2%
14,406,646,516
2.1%
Growth (cu ft/year) 410,000,000 312,000,000
-23.9%
461,000,000
12.4%
Removals (cu ft/year) 181,000,000 229,000,000
26.5%
546,000,000
201.7%
Growth to removal ratio 2.3 1.4
-39.9%
0.8
-62.7%

Carbon Stored on Forest Land in Ohio

Scenario A2-C A2-BIO
Carbon Pool 2010 2060 Change 2060 Change
Live trees (metric ton) 215,823,594
40.2%
240,261,159
43.5%
11.3%
215,166,654
41.2%
-0.3%
Roots (metric ton) 41,607,418
7.7%
46,294,932
8.4%
11.3%
41,440,572
7.9%
-0.4%
Dead trees (metric ton) 36,005,063
6.7%
37,907,417
6.9%
5.3%
37,170,444
7.1%
3.2%
Forest floor (metric ton) 37,553,204
7.0%
41,810,651
7.6%
11.3%
40,478,574
7.8%
7.8%
Soil (metric ton) 206,047,703
38.4%
186,257,752
33.7%
-9.6%
187,959,020
36.0%
-8.8%
All Carbon Pools (metric ton) 537,036,981
100%
552,531,912
100%
2.9%
522,215,265
100%
-2.8%

Population and Land Use Total Land Area: 26.2 million acres

  Change
2010 - 2060
  2010 2060 Ohio Northern
States
Ohio Population 11,449,586 11,377,667
-0.6%
11.9%
Area of Forest Land (Acres) 8,043,838
30.7% of total land area
7,834,860
29.9% of total land area
-2.6%
-3.5%
Area of Timberland (Acres) 7,833,574
29.9% of total land area
7,633,133
29.1% of total land area
-2.6%
-3.5%

Volume, Growth, and Removals on Timberland in Ohio

Scenario B2-C B2-BIO
  2010 2060 Change 2060 Change
Number of Trees 4,066,545,620 3,786,828,805
-6.9%
3,784,291,931
-6.9%
Trees per Person 355 333
-6.3%
333
-6.4%
Volume (cu ft) 14,103,629,048 16,803,872,823
19.1%
15,508,951,873
10.0%
Growth (cu ft/year) 410,000,000 273,000,000
-33.4%
342,000,000
-16.6%
Removals (cu ft/year) 181,000,000 196,000,000
8.3%
376,000,000
107.7%
Growth to removal ratio 2.3 1.4
-38.5%
0.9
-59.8%

Carbon Stored on Forest Land in Ohio

Scenario B2-C B2-BIO
Carbon Pool 2010 2060 Change 2060 Change
Live trees (metric ton) 215,823,594
40.2%
247,486,318
43.5%
14.7%
229,675,236
41.9%
6.4%
Roots (metric ton) 41,607,418
7.7%
47,690,546
8.4%
14.6%
44,264,078
8.1%
6.4%
Dead trees (metric ton) 36,005,063
6.7%
39,048,052
6.9%
8.5%
38,147,266
7.0%
5.9%
Forest floor (metric ton) 37,553,204
7.0%
43,378,307
7.6%
15.5%
43,380,123
7.9%
15.5%
Soil (metric ton) 206,047,703
38.4%
191,669,480
33.7%
-7.0%
193,277,050
35.2%
-6.2%
All Carbon Pools (metric ton) 537,036,981
100%
569,272,703
100%
6.0%
548,743,753
100%
2.2%

 Scenarios

There are six scenarios, each representing a global greenhouse storyline (IPCC 2007) paired with a harvest regime.

Moderate greenhouse gas emissions, moderate gains in population, and large gains in income and energy consumption (but with a balanced renewable/fossil fuel portfolio)

High greenhouse gas emissions, large gains in population and energy consumption, and moderate gains in income

Low greenhouse gas emissions with moderate gains in population, income, and energy consumption.

Harvest Regimes

-C
Scenario projections assume harvest will continue at recently observed levels
-BIO
Harvest will increase to reflect increased harvest for bioenergy production

Ohio Population by Scenario

Drivers of Forest Change

A large component of forest change will be the result of normal forest growth, aging, natural regeneration, and species succession. In addition, we expect that a range of external forces will also drive forest change:

  • Population increases will cause millions of acres of forest land to be converted to urban and other land uses.
  • Economic conditions will affect forest products consumption, production, and harvesting rates.
  • The spread of invasive species will exacerbate the effects of other disturbances on forest ecosystems.
  • Changes in population, economic activity, energy consumption, and energy production will affect future climate change.
  • Climate change will, in turn, affect dynamics within forested ecosystems, including patterns of vegetation growth and species succession.

Ohio Future Forest Attributes


Area of forestland for Ohio


Legend
A1B-C
A1B-BIO
A2-C
A2-BIO
B2-C
B2-BIO

Scenario 2020 2040 2060 % Change

Area of forestland under A1B-C in 2060



Rank State Value