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Citations

How to cite the Bird Atlas:

Matthews, S.N., L. R. Iverson, A.M. Prasad, A. M., and M.P. Peters. 2007-ongoing. A Climate Change Atlas for 147 Bird Species of the Eastern United States [database]. http://www.nrs.fs.fed.us/atlas/bird, Northern Research Station, USDA Forest Service, Delaware, Ohio.


Citations Pertinent to the Bird Atlas

Rodenhouse, N. L., S. N. Matthews, K. P. McFarland, J. D. Lambert, L. R. Iverson, A. M. Prasad, T. S. Sillett, and R. T. Homes. 2008. Potential effects of climate change on birds of the Northeast. Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change 13:517-540. http://treesearch.fs.fed.us/pubs/15296

Iverson, L. R. Prasad A. M. and S. Matthews. 2008. Modeling potential climate change impacts on the trees of the northeastern United States. Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change 13:487-516. http://treesearch.fs.fed.us/pubs/15295

Iverson, L. R., A. M. Prasad, S. N. Matthews, and M. Peters. 2008. Estimating potential habitat for 134 eastern US tree species under six climate scenarios. Forest Ecology and Management. 254:390-406. http://www.treesearch.fs.fed.us/pubs/13412

Iverson, L.R., Ollinger, S., Goodale, C., Rodenhouse, N., Lambert, D., Matthews, S., McFarland, K., Paradis, A., Elkington, J., and Kraft, C., Prasad, A. 2007. Forests. Chapter 4. Pages 47-61 in: Frumhoff, P.C., J.J. McCarthy, J.M. Melillo, S.C. Moser, and D.J. Wuebbles. 2007. Confronting Climate Change in the U.S. Northeast: Science, Impacts, and Solutions. Synthesis report of the Northeast Climate Impacts Assessment (NECIA). Cambridge, MA: Union of Concerned Scientists (UCS). http://www.climatechoices.org/assets/documents/climatechoices/confronting-climate-change-in-the-u-s-northeast.pdf

Iverson, L.R.; Prasad, A.M.; Matthews, S.N.; Peters, M.P. 2007. Potential impacts of climate change on birds and trees of the eastern United States; newest climate scenarios and species abundance modelling techniques. In: Bunce, R.G.H.; Jongman, R.H.G.; Weel, L.; Hojas, S., eds. 25 years of Landscape Ecology scientific principles in practice. Proceedings of the 7th IALE World Congress. Wageningen, The Netherlands: International Association for Landscape Ecology: 925-926. http://www.treesearch.fs.fed.us/pubs/14117

Nisley, R. G. 2007. Global climate change: what could happen to our northern forests? Research Review 1(Summer):6 pp. http://www.nrs.fs.fed.us/news.

Prasad, A. M., L. R. Iverson., S. Matthews. and M.P. Peters. 2007-ongoing. A Climate Change Atlas for 134 Forest Tree Species of the Eastern United States [database]. http://www.nrs.fs.fed.us/atlas/tree, Northern Research Station, USDA Forest Service, Delaware, Ohio.

Schwartz, M. W., L. R. Iverson, A. M. Prasad, S. N. Matthews, O, and R. J. Connor. 2006. Predicting extinctions as a result of climate change. Ecology 87(7):1611-1615. http://www.esajournals.org/esaonline/?request=get-document&issn=0012-9658&volume=087&issue=07&page=1611

Prasad, A. M., L. R. Iverson, and A. Liaw. 2006. Newer classification and regression tree techniques: bagging and random forests for ecological prediction. Ecosystems 9:181-199. http://www.springerlink.com/content/gp71g7t277211725/fulltext.pdf

Iverson, L. R., A. M. Prasad, and M. W. Schwartz . 2005. Predicting potential changes in suitable habitat and distribution by 2100 for tree species of the eastern United States. Journal of Agricultural Meteorology 61:29-37. http://www.jstage.jst.go.jp/article/agrmet/61/1/29/_pdf

Matthews, S., R. O'Connor, L.R. Iverson, and A.M. Prasad. 2004. Atlas of climate change effects in 150 bird species of the Eastern United States. GTR-NE-318. USDA Forest Service, Northeastern Research Station. Newtown Square, PA. 340 pp. http://www.fs.fed.us/ne/newtown_square/publications/technical_reports/pdfs/2004/gtr318/ne_gtr318.pdf

Iverson, L. R., M. W. Schwartz, and A. Prasad. 2004. How fast and far might tree species migrate under climate change in the eastern United States? Global Ecology and Biogeography 13:209-219. http://www.treesearch.fs.fed.us/pubs/9409

Iverson, L. R., A.M. Prasad, and A. Liaw. 2004. New machine learning tools for predictive vegetation mapping after climate change: Bagging and Random Forest perform better than regression tree analysis. Pages 317-320 in R. Smithers, Editor. Proceedings, UK-International Association for Landscape Ecology. Cirencester, UK.

Prasad, A.M. and L.R. Iverson. 2003. Little's range and FIA importance value database for 135 eastern US tree species. Northeastern Research Station, USDA Forest Service. Delaware, Ohio. http://www.fs.fed.us/ne/delaware/4153/global/littlefia/index.html pp.

Iverson, L. R. and A. Prasad. 2003. Using FIA data to assess current and potential future tree species importance values in the Eastern United States. Pages 171-172 in R. E. McRoberts, G. A. Reams, P. C. Van Deusen, and J. W. Moser, eds. Proceedings of the Third Annual Forest Inventory and Analysis Symposium. North Central Research Station, Forest Service U.S. Department of Agriculture, St. Paul, MN. http://www.treesearch.fs.fed.us/pubs/21916

Iverson, L. R. and A. M. Prasad. 2002. Potential redistribution of tree species habitat under five climate change scenarios in the eastern US. Forest Ecology and Management 155(1-3):205-222. http://www.fs.fed.us/ne/delaware/4153/iverson1.pdf

Iverson, L. R. 2002. Biological trends in the United States: an annotated on-line review:http://www.fs.fed.us/ne/delaware/biotrends/biotrends.html.

Schwartz, M. W., L. R. Iverson, and A. M. Prasad . 2001. Predicting the potential future distribution of four tree species in Ohio, USA, using current habitat availability and climatic forcing. Ecosystems 4:568-581. http://www.treesearch.fs.fed.us/pubs/21917 http://www.springerlink.com/content/6a6a31w95adrl5b0/fulltext.pdf

Iverson, L. R. and A. M. Prasad. 2001. Potential changes in tree species richness and forest community types following climate change. Ecosystems 4:186-199. http://www.treesearch.fs.fed.us/pubs/21910; http://www.springerlink.com/content/gacgvb8d4mjcf05v/fulltext.pdf

Hansen, A. J., V. Dale, C Flather, R. P. Neilson, P. Bartlein, L. Iverson, and D. Currie. 2001. Global change in forests: interactions among biodiversity, climate, and land use. BioScience 51(9):765-779. http://www.treesearch.fs.fed.us/pubs/2763

Easterling, M. M., D. R. DeWalle, L. R. Iverson, A. M. Prasad, A. Z. Rose, A. R. Buda, and Y. Cao. 2000. The potential impacts of climate change and variability on forests and forestry in the Mid-Atlantic Region. Climate Research 14:195-206. http://www.int-res.com/articles/cr/14/c014p195.pdf http://www.treesearch.fs.fed.us/pubs/21901

DeHays, D. H., G. L. Jacobson, P. G. Schaber, B. Bongarten, L. R. Iverson, and A. Kieffenbacker-Krall. 2000. Forest responses to changing climate: lessons from the past and uncertainty for the future. Pages 495-540 in R. A. Mickler, R. A. Birdsey, and J. L. Hom, editors. Responses of northern forests to environmental change. Springer-Verlag, Ecological Studies Series vol. 139, New York, NY.

Prasad, A.M. and L.R. Iverson. 1999. A Climate Change Atlas for 80 Forest Tree Species of the Eastern United States [database]. http://www.fs.fed.us/ne/delaware/atlas/index.html .

Iverson, L. R. Prasad A. M. and M. W. Schwartz. 1999. Modeling potential future individual tree-species distributions in the Eastern United States under a climate change scenario: a case study with Pinus virginiana. Ecological Modelling 115:77-93. http://www.treesearch.fs.fed.us/pubs/22436

Iverson, L.R., A.M. Prasad, B.J. Hale, and E.K. Sutherland. 1999. An atlas of current and potential future distributions of common trees of the eastern United States. General Technical Report NE-265. Northeastern Research Station, USDA Forest Service. 245 pp. http://www.treesearch.fs.fed.us/pubs/7662

Iverson, L. R. and A. M. Prasad. 1998. Predicting abundance of 80 tree species following climate change in the eastern United States. Ecological Monographs 68:465-485. http://www.esajournals.org/esaonline/?request=get-document&issn=0012-9615&volume=068&issue=04&page=0465 http://www.treesearch.fs.fed.us/pubs/21909


Other Relevant Citations:

Breiman, L., 1996. Bagging predictors. Machine Learning 24, 123-140.

Breiman, L., 2001. Random forests. Machine Learning 45, 5-32.

Breiman, L., J. H. Friedman, R. A. Olshen, and C. J. Stone, 1984. Classification and regression trees. Wadsworth and Brooks/Cole, Monterey, CA.

DeHayes, D. H., Jacobson, G. L., Schaber, P. G., Bongarten, B., Iverson, L. R., Dieffenbacker-Krall, A., 2000. Forest responses to changing climate: lessons from the past and uncertainty for the future. In: Mickler, R. A., Birdsey, R. A., Hom, J. L., editors, Responses of northern forests to environmental change. Springer-Verlag, Ecological Studies Series, New York, NY, pp. 495-540.

Delworth, TL, Broccoli, AJ, Rosati, A, Stouffer RJ, et al, 2006. GFDLs CM2 global coupled climate models Part 1 formulation and simulation characteristics. Journal of Climate 19, 643-674.

Hansen, A. J., Neilson, R. P., Dale, V. H., Flather, C. H., Iverson, L. R., Currie, D. J., Shafer, S., Cook, R., Bartlein, P. J., 2001. Global change in forests: responses of species, communities, and biomes. BioScience 51(9), 765-779.

Hayhoe, K., Wake, C. P., Huntington, T. G., Luo, L., Schwartz, M. D., Sheffield, J., Wood, E. F., Anderson, B., Bradbury, J., DeGaetano, A, Troy, T., Wolfe, D., 2006. Past and future changes in climate and hydrological indicators in the U.S. Northeast. Climate Dynamics.

Little, E.L., 1971. Atlas of United States trees. Volume 1. Conifers and important hardwoods. Miscellaneous Publication 1146, U.S. Department of Agriculture, Forest Service, Washington, D.C.

Little, E.L., 1977. Atlas of United States Trees. Volume 4. Minor Eastern Hardwoods. Miscellaneous Publication 1342, U.S. Department of Agriculture, Forest Service, Washington, D.C.

Nakicenovic, N. et al., 2000. IPCC special report on emissions scenarios. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK .

National Assessment Synthesis Team, 2001. Climate change impacts on the United States: the potential consequences of climate variability and change. Foundation report. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK.

Pope, V. D., 2000. The impact of new physical parametrizations in the Hadley Centre climate model -- HadCM3. Climate Dynamics 16, 123-46. 16, 123-146.

Ridgely, R. S., T. F. Allnutt, T. Brooks, D. K. McNicol, D. W. Mehlman, B. E. Young, and J. R. Zook. 2005. Digital Distribution Maps of the Birds of the Western Hemisphere, version 2.1. NatureServe, Arlington, Virginia, USA.

Schwartz, M. W., Iverson, L. R., Prasad, A. M., Matthews, S. N., O, Connor, R. J., 2006. Predicting extinctions as as result of climate change. Ecology 87(7), 14.

Smith W.B., Vissage J.S., Darr D.R., Sheffield R.M. Forest Resources of the United States, North Central Research Station. USDA Forest Service. St. Paul, MN

Therneau, T.M., Atkinson, E.J., 1997. An introduction to recursive partitioning using the RPART routines. Technical Report #61, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, MN.

Washington, W. M., Weatherly, J. W., Meehl, G. A., Semtner Jr., A. J., Bettge, T.W., Craig, A. P., Strand Jr., W. G., Arblaster, J. M., Wayland, V. B., James, R., Zhang, Y., 2000. Parallel climate model (PCM) control and transient simulations. Climate Dynamics 16, 755-74. 16, 755-774.

Wood A.W, Maurer E.P, Kumar A., Lettenmaier D.P. 2002. Long-range experimental hydrologic forecasting for the eastern United States. Journal of Geophysical Research 107, Art. No. 4429.